Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 2096.009801 2284.218467 2476.395896 2687.014969 2911.062400 3141.985250 3397.691868
2024-10-27 1719.287231 1987.596238 2273.598531 2600.028466 2961.133305 3347.239386 3790.132163
2024-11-03 1580.386165 1905.776044 2263.318615 2683.013027 3159.760337 3682.095917 4295.192638
2024-11-10 1459.509255 1824.663112 2236.351137 2731.031780 3305.311680 3947.034957 4714.220169
2024-11-17 1333.986802 1724.307036 2174.869240 2727.822710 3382.326879 4126.517462 5030.559411
2024-11-24 1213.480714 1619.091782 2097.837918 2697.054992 3419.090934 4253.154212 5281.097422
2024-12-01 1138.766133 1562.962556 2073.596435 2723.813347 3519.487633 4451.148422 5613.529948
2024-12-08 1059.939361 1495.674363 2030.352739 2722.565651 3582.197186 4601.725240 5888.448538
2024-12-15 1014.224395 1466.869034 2031.780876 2773.808031 3707.132119 4826.315821 6252.747509
2024-12-22 942.239349 1399.196745 1979.860252 2754.313028 3741.492932 4938.852918 6480.439567
2024-12-29 911.157817 1383.428776 1992.667150 2815.582087 3876.096681 5174.457528 6859.867718
2025-01-05 864.461794 1343.620911 1971.590526 2831.038781 3951.230716 5335.827678 7148.297236
2025-01-12 816.211767 1299.981414 1944.465479 2838.520375 4017.333535 5488.571329 7430.777524
2025-01-19 735.449217 1206.364385 1846.161213 2748.065644 3953.474007 5475.028184 7503.443216
2025-01-26 723.497950 1210.252816 1880.213498 2834.623882 4121.519854 5757.865621 7953.109429
2025-02-02 700.103585 1195.945487 1887.915267 2884.699236 4241.256512 5979.426563 8326.627985
2025-02-09 660.983467 1156.117920 1857.886356 2881.352995 4288.563210 6106.846411 8579.911951
2025-02-16 615.735363 1104.508952 1808.749438 2849.268160 4295.323587 6180.183387 8762.895265
2025-02-23 591.593001 1083.925254 1803.094548 2877.172201 4383.064180 6359.981848 9085.251028
2025-03-02 560.598542 1050.914545 1777.774846 2875.871142 4429.865561 6485.345182 9336.948390
2025-03-09 546.727050 1044.321530 1790.893131 2929.300285 4552.485710 6712.474973 9724.282107
2025-03-16 513.934065 1005.378561 1754.016992 2908.974482 4571.266989 6799.936424 9927.051417
2025-03-23 504.886164 1004.877706 1774.918767 2972.849907 4708.525516 7047.962709 10345.051327